RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

2

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

ASIC Calls for Improved Consumer Safeguards in Car Finance Sector

04 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has conducted a comprehensive review of the motor vehicle finance sector, uncovering significant issues that adversely affect consumers. This investigation was initiated in response to a surge in complaints regarding high costs associated with car financing. - read more

Bank Australia Ceases Financing for New Fossil Fuel Vehicles

04 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

In a bold move towards environmental sustainability, Bank Australia has ceased offering loans for new petrol, diesel, and hybrid vehicles as of February 2025. This policy change aligns with the bank's commitment to achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2035. - read more

CommBank Introduces Discounted EV Loans for Essential Workers

04 Jan 2026: Paige Estritori

In a significant move to promote sustainable transportation, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CommBank) has introduced discounted loans for electric and hybrid vehicles, specifically targeting essential workers and individuals earning less than $100,000 annually. This initiative aims to make environmentally friendly vehicles more accessible to a broader segment of the Australian population. - read more

Affordable Electric Vehicle Loans Now Available for Eligible Australians

27 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

In a significant move to promote sustainable transportation, the Australian government has introduced a new loan scheme offering low-interest financing for electric vehicles (EVs). This initiative targets Australians earning less than $100,000 annually, as well as essential workers such as police officers, teachers, firefighters, and nurses, regardless of their income level. - read more

Rising Car Repossessions Highlight Financial Challenges for Australians

27 Dec 2025: Paige Estritori

Recent data indicates a sharp increase in car repossessions across Australia, signaling escalating financial distress among households. Automotive auction house Pickles has reported a 13% rise in repossessed vehicles over the past six months, with an 11% increase in the last quarter alone. - read more

Click for more Finance News