RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

RBA Maintains Cash Rate at 4.35% in June 2026 Decision

11 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In its June 2026 meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to hold the cash rate steady at 4.35%. This unanimous decision reflects the central bank's cautious approach amid ongoing economic uncertainties and inflationary pressures. - read more

EOFY 2026: Unmissable Ute Deals and Tax Insights

11 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

As the end of the financial year (EOFY) approaches, Australian car buyers have a unique opportunity to take advantage of significant discounts and tax benefits on utes. Several manufacturers are offering compelling deals, making it an ideal time to consider a new vehicle purchase. - read more

Electric Vehicles Capture 20% of Australian New Car Market in May 2026

04 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

In May 2026, electric vehicles (EVs) achieved a significant milestone in Australia, accounting for 20% of all new car sales. This marks a substantial increase from previous months and underscores a growing shift towards sustainable transportation options among Australian consumers. - read more

2026 Subaru Solterra: More Range, Power, and Affordability

04 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

Subaru Australia has unveiled the 2026 Solterra, its updated electric SUV, featuring significant enhancements in range, power, and affordability. The new model is now available from $63,990 plus on-road costs, reflecting a substantial price reduction compared to its predecessor. - read more

Government Announces Reduction in EV Tax Incentives from 2027

04 Jun 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian government has announced plans to gradually reduce tax exemptions for electric vehicles (EVs) starting in April 2027. This decision comes in response to the escalating costs associated with the current incentive scheme, which have significantly exceeded initial projections. - read more

Click for more Finance News