RBA Remains Cautious Despite Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Though the economy is experiencing a downturn, RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasizes that the demand for goods and services still outstrips supply capabilities.

"It's understandable that people think a slower economy should lead to rate cuts, but we need tangible inflation improvement before making such a move," Bullock stated during her speech on Thursday.

This comes in the wake of a modest 0.2% economic growth in the June quarter, with an annual increase holding at 1%, marking the lowest since the 1991 recession outside the pandemic period.

The slowdown was anticipated as a consequence of maintained high-interest rates aimed at dampening demand to curb inflation.

Despite slowing growth, Bullock pointed out that demand remains high partly because post-pandemic resurgence has sustained some strength in the economy.

She also mentioned the ongoing underperformance on the supply side, particularly in productivity growth.

"It's a matter of growth rates versus levels," she explained at the Anika Foundation Fundraising Lunch, indicating that inflation persists due to demand remaining higher than supply capabilities.

This protracted wait for interest rate cuts is challenging for the federal government, which faces scrutiny over its budgetary decisions and their impact on inflation.

Bullock acknowledged that both federal and state governments are wrestling with inflation as it directly affects their regions' residents.

When asked if Treasurer Jim Chalmers was shifting blame to the RBA, Bullock refrained from commenting directly but clarified both were committed to their roles.

The opposition has leveraged the national accounts to criticize the government, with Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor suggesting a conflict between government spending and RBA's inflation control measures.

In defense, Finance Minister Katy Gallagher highlighted that the government's expenditure was strategically targeted to support the economy without exacerbating inflation;

"Had the government not provided necessary aid during this period, the economic figures would have been worse," Gallagher told ABC TV on Thursday.

Bullock further dedicated significant portions of her speech to the hazards posed by stubborn high inflation.

She cautioned that although inflation expectations are stable, this stability is not guaranteed. A scenario of expected consistent price rises could necessitate further interest rate hikes.

"In that case, we would need to throttle the economy more, leading to higher unemployment and potential recession," she warned.

Prolonged inflation risks pushing more borrowers, particularly those with lower incomes, into mortgage stress and potentially forcing home sales.

"High inflation is why there is so much cost of living discussion - it adversely affects everyone, especially the most vulnerable,” Bullock concluded.

Published:Friday, 6th Sep 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Surge in Electric Vehicle Financing Reflects Australia's Shift Towards Cleaner Transport

26 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

In 2025, Australia witnessed a significant surge in electric and hybrid vehicle financing, reaching a total of $7.37 billion-a 20% increase from the previous year. This growth indicates a substantial shift in consumer preferences towards cleaner transportation options. - read more

Record Surge in Electric Vehicle Loan Applications in Australia

18 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

In a remarkable development, fintech lender MONEYME has observed a substantial 90% month-on-month increase in electric vehicle (EV) loan applications from February to March 2026. This surge underscores a significant shift in Australian consumer behaviour towards electric vehicles, driven by escalating fuel prices and growing environmental awareness. - read more

How Digital Finance is Transforming Car Purchases in Australia

10 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

The landscape of car purchasing in Australia is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by the rapid adoption of digital finance solutions. Traditional methods of securing car loans are being replaced by streamlined online processes, offering consumers faster approvals and enhanced convenience. - read more

Car Loan Interest Rates Forecast 2026: What to Expect

10 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

As we progress through 2026, prospective car buyers in Australia are keenly observing the trends in car loan interest rates to make informed financing decisions. Several factors are poised to influence these rates, and understanding them can aid consumers in navigating the lending landscape effectively. - read more

How Digital Finance is Transforming Car Purchases in Australia

02 Apr 2026: Paige Estritori

The landscape of car purchasing in Australia is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by the rapid adoption of digital finance solutions. Traditional methods of securing car loans are being replaced by streamlined online processes, offering consumers faster approvals and enhanced convenience. - read more

Click for more Finance News