The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.
As Australians anticipate padded pocketbooks from Stage 3 tax cuts, emerging concerns involve the risk of increased inflation that could pressure mortgage holders with steeper interest rates, posits an economist.
Dr. Nalini Prasad from the UNSW School of Economics highlights the pivotal role of family spending habits in shaping the future economic scenario.
"Receiving more income is always welcome," Dr. Prasad remarks.
She points out that the average weekly take-home pay will rise by $42.
"If individuals opt to spend the majority of their increased income, it could trigger inflation, placing upward pressure on the cash rate," she explains.
The cash rate, determined by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), acts as a benchmark for mortgage rates across the nation.
The rate currently stands at 4.35 percent, following an assertive rate hike cycle by the RBA aimed at curbing mounting inflation.
RBA Governor Michele Bullock has cautioned that the Board will raise rates further if needed to bring inflation down to the 2-3 percent target range. The latest inflation report from June offers little comfort to homeowners.
The consumer price index surged to 4 percent in the year leading up to May, as reported by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, a hike from April's 3.6 percent inflation.
Economists had forecast a more conservative increase of 3.8 percent.
Deutsche Group chief economist for Australia, Phil O’Donaghoe, believes this unexpected hike will likely prompt the RBA to increase rates by an additional 25 basis points to 4.6 percent in August.
Evaluating Long-Term Outcomes
"Underlying inflation remains excessively high in Australia," asserts O'Donaghoe.
Dr. Prasad emphasizes that the long-range benefits of the tax cuts will hinge on successfully mitigating current inflation issues.
"In the longer run, if the economy can bolster its productive capacity, we could see more investment resulting from the tax cuts. However, tackling short-term inflationary problems is essential first," she notes.
"Without an increase in productive capacity, the immediate effects of the tax cuts may be constrained to heightened inflation, with minimal economic growth gains," she warns.
Some data, however, suggests that the tax cuts might not significantly contribute to inflationary pressures.
For instance, a study by banking giant NAB indicates that over a third of Australians, approximately 36 percent, intend to save their additional income rather than splurging on non-essentials.
The report also reveals that a significant portion of Gen Z Australians, around 53 percent, plan to save rather than spend, and 49 percent of those earning between $100,000 and $150,000 prefer saving to spending.
"Despite the challenges of rising living costs, Australians have been making savings a priority wherever possible over the past year or so," observes Paul Riley, NAB's personal banking executive.
"The funds from Stage 3 tax cuts are expected to significantly boost their savings or rainy-day funds," Riley adds, emphasizing that this tendency to save will assist in combating inflation.
The content of this article has been adapted from an original news piece titled "UNSW Economics Expert Warns of Stage 3 Tax Cut Inflation Risks," published by NewsWire.
In 2024, Australia witnessed a remarkable surge in electric and hybrid vehicle financing, with total loans reaching $6.17 billion-a 50% increase from the previous year. This substantial growth underscores a nationwide shift towards more sustainable transportation options. - read more
Australia's Westpac Banking Corporation has reached a settlement of A$130 million (approximately $81.84 million) to resolve a class action lawsuit concerning its auto finance practices. The lawsuit, initiated by law firm Maurice Blackburn in 2020, alleged that between March 1, 2013, and October 31, 2018, Westpac and its subsidiary, St George Finance, permitted car dealers to increase interest rates on car loans to earn higher commissions. - read more
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has commenced an in-depth review of the motor vehicle finance sector, aiming to bolster consumer protections, particularly for borrowers in regional and remote areas, including First Nations communities. This initiative underscores ASIC's commitment to ensuring fair and responsible lending practices across Australia. - read more
In a significant move towards environmental sustainability, Bank Australia has ceased offering loans for new petrol, diesel, and hybrid vehicles as of February 2025. This policy change aligns with the bank's commitment to achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2035. - read more
The Australian used car market, which experienced robust growth throughout most of 2024, has shown signs of slowing down in the final months of the year. This trend suggests a more cautious outlook for 2025, influenced by various economic factors and affordability concerns. - read more
Car loan refinancing involves replacing an existing car loan with a new one, usually to lower the interest rate, reduce monthly payments, or modify the loan term. In Australia's fluctuating economic landscape, refinancing can be a strategic financial decision for borrowers looking to adjust their finances to more favorable terms. - read more
Finding an affordable car finance option can make the dream of owning a vehicle a tangible reality for many Australians. It’s about understanding the intricacies of the loan market, interest rates, and finding a plan that aligns with your financial prospects and constraints. In a society built on the convenience of mobility, securing a car that meets both your needs and your budget is essential. - read more
Finding the right car loan in Australia can be just as critical as selecting the car itself. Car finance, though a common undertaking, involves nuanced decisions that can have a significant impact on your financial future. - read more
Stepping into the world of auto financing can be as daunting as it is exciting. The commitment of a new car loan demands more than just desiring your dream car; it necessitates a balanced budget and a solid financial plan. Understanding how to prepare before signing on that dotted line is not only wise, it’s imperative for your financial health. - read more
Before taking the plunge into car ownership, it's crucial to have a clear view of your current financial health. Start by evaluating your income, monthly expenses, and any savings you may have set aside. This assessment will give you a realistic picture of how much you can allocate towards buying a car without straining your finances. - read more
Need Help Finding a Loan?
Get a free car loan eligibility assessment and compare offers tailored
specifically to your circumstances.
All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without
obligation. We respect your
privacy.
Knowledgebase
Bull Market: A market condition where the prices of securities are rising, or are expected to rise.
