Car Loans Australia :: News
SHARE

Share this news item!

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season

Retail Sector Braces for Tough Holiday Season?w=400
As Australians continue to face a challenging cost of living crisis, economic analysts have prepared retailers for a rocky road ahead as the Christmas season approaches.

Over the last year and a half, the Australian retail sector has been navigating what might be described as a recession, mostly indicated by declining trade figures. This downturn presents significant obstacles for retailers as they head towards one of the busiest times of the year.

In a sobering analysis by Deloitte Access Economics, partner Dave Rumbens highlights that retail spending has consistently declined over six of the previous seven quarters. This decrease is compounded by high living costs, rising interest rates, and stagnant wage growth, leading to an overall grim economic outlook.

“We’ve seen retailers struggle significantly," said Rumbens. "Real retail turnover has dropped for eight consecutive quarters, and consumer spending has barely budged at a 1.3% increase over the past 12 months.”

Data reveals that the national real GDP growth up to March was just 1.1%, the lowest rate outside pandemic years since the 90s. According to Rumbens, this is a clear signal that Australia’s retail industry has been in a persistent recession for 18 months.

Despite the bleak outlook, this contraction in the retail sector is not surprising, given the weakening job market and the rising number of business insolvencies. “On a per capita basis, the reality is even harsher with real per capita retail spending shrinking by 2.5% compared to last year and further declining by 6.3% since June 2022,” explained Rumbens.

The "economic horror show" does not solely impact retailers; it reflects a broader economic malaise. With real consumer spending on retail down by 0.6% over the year to June, Rumbens predicts a difficult period ahead, though he remains hopeful that future years might bring some relief.

The Deloitte report underscores that new financial relief measures, including energy bill subsidies and tax cuts, might help increase disposable income and improve retail turnover. “While retailers should brace for continued challenges through the holiday season, we anticipate some gradual recovery," said Rumbens. Predictive figures show real retail turnover growth potentially rising from 0.3% in 2024 to 1.5% in both 2025 and 2026.

The recent monthly Consumer Price Index report for July shows inflation easing down to 3.5%, and underlying inflation dipping to 3.8%. Such signs might be initial indicators of economic stabilization, offering a glimmer of hope for Australian retailers.

Amidst this “new normal” of cautious and value-focused consumer behavior, the path to recovery might be slow, but not unattainable. Retailers who can adapt to the evolving economic landscape will be better positioned to overcome the tumultuous times still expected before a more stable future in 2025-26.

Published:Sunday, 1st Sep 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

Consumer Confidence Takes a Hit Amid Economic Uncertainty Consumer Confidence Takes a Hit Amid Economic Uncertainty
15 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori

In a recent shift, consumer sentiment has experienced a noticeable decline as January brings a wave of pessimism about the economy. This change in mood among consumers could signal challenges ahead for various sectors, particularly in retail and discretionary spending. - read more
ASIC Unveils Updated Guidance to Strengthen Financial Advice Standards ASIC Unveils Updated Guidance to Strengthen Financial Advice Standards
14 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has rolled out a fresh set of guidelines aimed at enhancing the quality of financial advice in the wake of significant legislative reforms. This move aligns with the recently enacted Treasury Laws Amendments (Delivering Better Financial Outcomes and Other Measures) Act 2024, which is designed to foster better financial outcomes for consumers. - read more
Adviser Qualifications Surge as 2026 Deadline Approaches Adviser Qualifications Surge as 2026 Deadline Approaches
14 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori

With the looming 2026 deadline for financial advisers to upgrade their qualifications, nearly 3,000 existing advisers in Australia are ramping up efforts to meet educational requirements. The industry is seeing a significant influx of postgraduate students aiming to secure their credentials by January 1st, 2026. - read more
Australian Dollar Decline: Economic Impacts and Opportunities Australian Dollar Decline: Economic Impacts and Opportunities
13 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori

The Australian dollar has faced significant depreciation recently, sinking to its lowest level in nearly five years. This decline raises important questions about its implications not only for the economy but also for consumers and businesses alike. - read more
Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Draws Controversy with New Branch Withdrawal Fees Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Draws Controversy with New Branch Withdrawal Fees
08 Jan 2025: Paige Estritori

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank has recently come under fire after implementing a new fee structure that charges customers $2.50 for cash withdrawals at branches, marking a significant shift as the bank attempts to navigate the current economic climate. This decision follows in the footsteps of the Commonwealth Bank, which faced backlash for a similar fee hike late last year. - read more


Car Loans Articles

From Fuel to Finance: A Comprehensive Breakdown of Car Costs From Fuel to Finance: A Comprehensive Breakdown of Car Costs
When it comes to owning a car in Australia, many of us view it as a symbol of freedom, an essential convenience, or even a reflection of our personal style. Yet, for all the road trips planned and errands run, the cost of owning a car extends well beyond the sticker price. - read more
Top Tips for Australians Navigating the Online Car Market Top Tips for Australians Navigating the Online Car Market
The Australian automotive landscape has witnessed a significant transformation with the rise of online car sales. The concept of browsing, selecting, and purchasing a vehicle through digital platforms has gained immense popularity, offering consumers a vast array of choices at their fingertips. - read more
The Essential Guide to Securing Affordable Car Finance in Australia The Essential Guide to Securing Affordable Car Finance in Australia
Finding an affordable car finance option can make the dream of owning a vehicle a tangible reality for many Australians. It’s about understanding the intricacies of the loan market, interest rates, and finding a plan that aligns with your financial prospects and constraints. In a society built on the convenience of mobility, securing a car that meets both your needs and your budget is essential. - read more
5 Critical Steps to Take Before Applying for a Car Loan in Australia 5 Critical Steps to Take Before Applying for a Car Loan in Australia
Stepping into the world of auto financing can be as daunting as it is exciting. The commitment of a new car loan demands more than just desiring your dream car; it necessitates a balanced budget and a solid financial plan. Understanding how to prepare before signing on that dotted line is not only wise, it’s imperative for your financial health. - read more
The Complete Checklist for Choosing a Car Loan Provider in Australia The Complete Checklist for Choosing a Car Loan Provider in Australia
Finding the right car loan in Australia can be just as critical as selecting the car itself. Car finance, though a common undertaking, involves nuanced decisions that can have a significant impact on your financial future. - read more
Top Tips for Australians Navigating the Online Car Market Top Tips for Australians Navigating the Online Car Market
The Australian automotive landscape has witnessed a significant transformation with the rise of online car sales. The concept of browsing, selecting, and purchasing a vehicle through digital platforms has gained immense popularity, offering consumers a vast array of choices at their fingertips. - read more
The Smart Aussie Buyer's Guide to Securing the Best Price on a New Car The Smart Aussie Buyer's Guide to Securing the Best Price on a New Car
There's a unique thrill that comes with purchasing a new car; it's not just about getting from point A to B, but about fulfilling a dream and the freedom of the open road. However, with the excitement comes the need for careful planning and smart decision-making to ensure that your investment pays off in the long term. - read more
The Complete Checklist for Choosing a Car Loan Provider in Australia The Complete Checklist for Choosing a Car Loan Provider in Australia
Finding the right car loan in Australia can be just as critical as selecting the car itself. Car finance, though a common undertaking, involves nuanced decisions that can have a significant impact on your financial future. - read more
Avoid the Pitfalls: Common Mistakes to Avoid When Seeking Car Finance Avoid the Pitfalls: Common Mistakes to Avoid When Seeking Car Finance
Entering the world of car finance can be both an exciting and daunting venture. With a plethora of options for car loans in Australia, it is essential for potential buyers to arm themselves with knowledge to make the best financial decision. A well-informed choice can be the difference between a loan that propels your personal mobility, and one that hinders your financial stability. - read more
Car Loans: Secured vs Unsecured Car Loans: Secured vs Unsecured
Car loans play a pivotal role in empowering individuals to afford their own vehicle, which can be a significant purchase. These loans, structured to fit within one's financial situation, can ease the burden of acquiring a car and assist in achieving personal convenience and mobility. - read more


Need Help Finding a Loan?
Get a free car loan eligibility assessment and compare offers tailored specifically to your circumstances.
Loan Amount:
Postcode:
All finance quotes are provided free (via our secure server) and without obligation.
We respect your privacy.

Knowledgebase
Certificate of Deposit (CD):
A savings certificate with a fixed maturity date and specified interest rate, typically higher than a standard savings account.